%0 Journal Article %T Return distribution and value at risk estimation for BELEX15 %A £¿ori£¿ Dragan %A Nikoli£¿-£¿ori£¿ Emilija %J Yugoslav Journal of Operations Research %D 2011 %I University of Belgrade %R 10.2298/yjor1101103d %X The aim of this paper is to find distributions that adequately describe returns of the Belgrade Stock Exchange index BELEX15. The sample period covers 1067 trading days from 4 October 2005 to 25 December 2009. The obtained models were considered in estimating Value at Risk ( VaR ) at various confidence levels. Evaluation of VaR model accuracy was based on Kupiec likelihood ratio test. %K Value at risk %K return distributions %K Kupiec test %K BELEX15 %U http://www.doiserbia.nb.rs/img/doi/0354-0243/2011/0354-02431101103D.pdf