%0 Journal Article
%T Flood forecasting in Blue Nile basin using a process-based hydrological model
%A Osama R Abdel-Aziz
%J International Journal of Environment
%P 10-21
%D 2014
%R 10.3126/ije.v3i1.9938
%X Predictions of variations in global and regional hydrological cycles and their response to changes in climate and the environment are key problems for future human life. Therefore, basin-scale hydrological forecasts, along with predictions regarding future climate change, are needed in areas with high flood potential. This study forecasts hydrological process scenarios in Blue Nile basin using a distributed hydrological model (DHM) and predicted scenarios of precipitation from two general circulation models, CCSM3 model and Miroc3.2-hires. Firstly, river discharge was simulated by the DHM using the observed rainfall from 1976 to 1979 and then, simulating future precipitations from 2011 to 2040, discharge scenarios were predicted. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.3126/ije.v3i1.9938 International Journal of Environment Vol.3(1) 2014: 10-21
%K Blue Nile Basin
%K Distributed Hydrological Model
%K flood forecast
%K CCSM3
%K Miroc3.2
%U http://www.nepjol.info/index.php/IJE/article/view/9938