%0 Journal Article %T Variability of the standardized precipitation index over M¨¦xico under the A2 climate change scenario %A PRIETO-GONZ¨¢LEZ %A R. %A CORT¨¦S-HERN¨¢NDEZ %A V. E. %A MONTERO-MART¨ªNEZ %A M. J. %J Atm¨®sfera %D 2011 %I Scientific Electronic Library Online %X the 12-month standardized precipitation index (spi) is used to identify and assess drought severity in m¨¦xico during the 1949-2098 period under the a2 emissions scenario of the intergovernmental panel on climate change (ipcc). the analysis indicates more frequent and severe drought events in m¨¦xico, shown by a negative trend of the 12-month projected spi time series. furthermore, this study concludes that projected future drought events would surpass the time-length, magnitude and frequency of those modelled during the second half of the 20th century. %K drought %K spi %K climate change %K a2 scenario. %U http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&pid=S0187-62362011000300001&lng=en&nrm=iso&tlng=en