The Predictive Validity of Final English Exams as a Measure of Success in Iranian National University Entrance English Exam

This study is an attempt to investigate the probable relationship between English scores of high school and pre- university with the English scores of the learners in (INUEEE) Iranian National University Entrance English Exam. To find out the relationships, a sample of 42 students randomly were selected out of the whole population of Pre-university students in Naghadeh, West Azerbayjan. The students final English scores in grade three and pre-university 1 and 2 were collected from the school archives and all sets of scores were correlated with the students’ scores on INUEEE. All the statistical analyses were done by SPSS. Results of the analyses showed that all the correlations were significant at (.01) level of significance. However, since we were indented to use these sets of (high school and Pre-University) scores for INUEEE score prediction, we failed to do so due to low correlation coefficients between the variables. Therefore, we can strongly state that there is no guarantee that those students who grade high in high school and pre-university English exams will grade high in INUEEE as well.