SPREAD OF HIV/AIDS-FUTURE PROSPECTS

This study consists of a pure statistical model for estimating the rate of spread ofHuman Immunodeficiency Virus as well as AIDS with the help of available secondary data ofUttar Pradesh. Data on some applicable variables like year of test, age group, gender, mode oftransmitting disease and the percentage which is positive while testing were analyzed. TheGenerating function approach ahs been used to solve the associated Birth Process model. Areduction from normal population is numerically noticed through the use of Birth Process model.It is found that the age group (30-39) is on the greatest risk as out of an assumed 10500 membersof each group while the unsafe heterosexual relations are the biggest mode of transmittingdisease.