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2000-2013年西藏纳木错湖冰变化及其影响因素

DOI: 10.18306/dlkxjz.2015.10.004, PP. 1241-1249

Keywords: 湖冰,遥感,反射率阈值法,辐射亮温,青藏高原

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Abstract:

湖冰物候事件是气候变化的敏感指示器。本文以西藏纳木错湖为研究对象,基于MODIS多光谱反射率产品数据监测了2000-2013年纳木错湖冰冻融日期,并结合多个气象站点的气象数据和实测湖面温度、湖面辐射亮温分析验证了湖冰变化的原因。纳木错湖冰变化较好地响应了区域气候变暖开始冻结日期延迟和完全消融日期提前使湖冰存在期显著缩短(2.8d/a)、湖冰冻结期增长、湖冰消融期缩短,其中消融期变化最为明显,平均每年缩短3.1d。湖冰冻融日期的变化表明2000年后纳木错湖冰冻结困难,消融加速,稳定性减弱。纳木错湖冰变化主要受湖面温度、湖面辐射亮温和气温变化的影响,它们可以作为气象因子来解释区域气候变化。

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