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跨期决策中动态不一致性程度研究

DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1005-3026.2015.05.031, PP. 753-756

Keywords: 动态不一致性,跨期决策,经济物理学,对数时间理论

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Abstract:

通过对本科生和MBA学生分别进行跨期决策实验,估计各跨期选择模型(指数函数、简单双曲线、拟双曲线和q指数函数)的参数及拟合度AICc.同时还比较了两种测量动态不一致程度的方法.结果发现:无论实验对象是否有工作经验,使用q指数函数的贴现模型总能产生最小的AICc值,因此是最优模型;基于对数时间理论的测量方法捕获了动态不一致性的本质,是测量动态不一致性程度的最优方法.

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