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External Shocks and the Law of Carbon Price Fluctuation—Based on the Framework of CWT and EEMD

DOI: 10.4236/lce.2017.83007, PP. 81-95

Keywords: Carbon Price Fluctuations, External Shocks, The Wavelet Analysis Method, EEMD Model

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Abstract:

This paper focused on researching the fluctuation of carbon trading price caused by the external shocks through analyzing the data of three-phase carbon spot price from Blue Next Environmental Exchange and the European Climate Exchange (ECX). The results are the following: 1) released important information and events will seriously affect the carbon price fluctuations; some important information are released that cause sharp fluctuations in a short period of time; the Sudden events lead to long-term, drastic fluctuations in carbon price and its influence over the impact of important information; 2) the impact of external events is always corresponding to the low-frequency component of time sequence; this is because the low-frequency component usually reflects the data signal amplitude which is severer, and the high-frequency component represents the data signal amplitude which is a smaller part; it has

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