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TERRORISM AND MACROECONOMY: A REVIEW OF THE EURASIAN COUNTRIES

DOI: -, PP. 75-85

Keywords: Terrorism, Westerlund cointegration test, Holtz-Eakin, Newey and Rosen Causality Test, Macroeconomics variable

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Abstract:

The relationship between terrorist incidents, inflation rate, unemployment rate, per capita GDP, export rate and import rate for Eurasian countries Ukraine, Moldova, Georgia, Kyrgyzstan, Kazakhstan, Tajikistan, Azerbaijan, Armenia and Belarus for the period 1994-2015. For this purpose, the Westerlund cointegration analysis and have been using the causality test introduced by Holtz-Eakin, Newey and Rosen. As a result of the analyzes, it is observed that there is a long-term relationship between the export rate and the terrorist incidents and the export rate is the reason for the terrorist incidents. At the same time, it has been found that there is no longterm interaction and causal link between all other variables and terrorist incidents considered in the study.

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