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-  2018 

仓位限额对股指期货价格发现的影响——基于上证50、沪深300和中证500的实证对比
Effect of Position Limit on Price Discovery—Evidence from SSE 50, CSI 300 and CSI 500 Spots and Futures Markets

DOI: 10.19366/j.cnki.1009-055X.2018.04.005

Keywords: 股指期货,价格发现,仓位限额,改进的信息共享模型,永久短暂模型,
index futures
,price discovery,position limit,modified information share model,permanent transitory model

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Abstract:

采用1分钟高频数据,实证分析上证50股指期货、沪深300股指期货和中证500股指期货相对现货的价格发现能力,着重分析仓位限额对期货价格发现能力的影响。对价格序列进行区间划分,并进行平稳性、格兰杰因果关系和协整关系的检验;针对价格序列建立向量误差修正模型;运用改进的信息共享模型计算序列间的价格发现贡献度,并应用永久短暂模型进行稳健性检验。结果表明:股指期货的价格发现贡献度均大于现货的价格发现贡献度;仓位限额降低了股指期货的价格发现能力,而且对上证50股指期货的价格发现能力影响最大。

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