Terra Seismic can predict most major earthquakes (M6.2 or greater) at least 2 - 5 months before they will strike. Global earthquake prediction is based on determinations of the stressed areas that will start to behave abnormally before major earthquakes. The size of the observed stressed areas roughly corresponds to estimates calculated from Dobrovolsky’s formula. To identify abnormalities and make predictions, Terra Seismic applies various methodologies, including satellite remote sensing methods and data from ground-based instruments. We currently process terabytes of information daily, and use more than 80 different multiparameter prediction systems. Alerts are issued if the abnormalities are confirmed by at least five different systems. We observed that geophysical patterns of earthquake development and stress accumulation are generally the same for all key seismic regions. Thus, the same earthquake prediction methodologies and systems can be applied successfully worldwide. Our technology has been used to retrospectively test data gathered since 1970 and it successfully detected about 90 percent of all significant quakes over the last 50 years.
References
[1]
Keilis-Borok, V.I. and Kossobokov, V.G. (1990) Premonitory Activation of Earthquake Flow: Algorithm M8. Physics of the Earth and Planetary Interiors, 61, 73-83. https://doi.org/10.1016/0031-9201(90)90096-G
[2]
Rathje, E.M. and Adams, B.J. (2008) The Role of Remote Sensing in Earthquake Science and Engineering: Opportunities and Challenges. Earthquake Spectra, 24, 471-492. https://doi.org/10.1193/1.2923922
[3]
Liu, W.L. and Liu, Y.C. (2012) Applicability of Several Seismic Wave Parameters in Earthquake Prediction. International Research Journal of Geology and Mining, 2, 32-40.
[4]
Ogata, Y. (2013) A Prospect of Earthquake Prediction Research. Statistical Science, 28, 521-541. https://doi.org/10.1214/13-STS439
[5]
Bobrowsky, P. (2013) Encyclopedia of Natural Hazards. Springer, Dorchester, 1135 p. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4020-4399-4
[6]
Ghaedi, K. and Ibrahim, Z. (2017) Earthquake Prediction. In: Zouaghi, T., Ed., Earthquakes—Tectonics, Hazard and Risk Mitigation, IntechOpen, London. https://www.intechopen.com/books/earthquakes-tectonics-hazard-and-risk-mitigation/earthquake-prediction https://doi.org/10.5772/65511
[7]
Tronin, A.A. (2010) Satellite Remote Sensing in Seismology. A Review. Remote Sensing, 2, 124-150. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs2010124
[8]
Alvan, H.V. and Azad, F.H. (2011) Satellite Remote Sensing in Earthquake Prediction. A Review. National Postgraduate Conference, Kuala Lumpur, 1-5. https://doi.org/10.1109/NatPC.2011.6136371
[9]
Alvan, H.V. and Omar, H. (2011) Overview of Remote Sensing Techniques in Earthquake Prediction. Journal of Engineering, Design and Technology, 9, 164-177. https://doi.org/10.1108/17260531111151050
[10]
Kong, X., Li, N., Lin, L., Xiong, P. and Qi, J. (2018) Relationship of Stress Changes and Anomalies in OLR Data of the Wenchuan and Lushan Earthquakes. IEEE Journal of Selected Topics in Applied Earth Observations and Remote Sensing, 11, 2966-2976. https://doi.org/10.1109/JSTARS.2018.2839089
[11]
Kalvik, J. (2019) Nobel Prize to Oleg Elshin and Terra Seismic Will Help Protect Humanity from Earthquakes and Tsunamis. http://www.etterretningen.no/2019/08/16/nobel-prize-to-oleg-elshin-and-terra-seismic-will-help-protect-humanity-from-earthquakes-and-tsunamis
[12]
Carlucci, R. (2018) Terra Seismic con i Big Data satellitari candidata al Nobel per la Pace nella previsione dei terremoti. https://rivistageomedia.it/2018050314651/Scienze-della-Terra/terra-seismic-con-i-big-data-satellitari-candidata-al-nobel-per-la-pace-nella-previsione-dei-terremoti-1
[13]
Marr, B. (2015) Big Data: Saving 13,000 Lives a Year by Predicting Earthquakes? http://www.forbes.com/sites/bernardmarr/2015/04/21/big-data-saving-13000-lives-a-year-by-predicting-earthquakes
[14]
Norway News (2018) Terra Seismic Can Save Millions of Lives and Create a New, Safer Earth for Mankind. http://www.norwaynews.com/terra-seismic-saving-millions-lives-a-year-by-predicting-earthquakes
[15]
Kassandra Petsas, Bodoposten (2018) Terra Seismic nominert til Nobels Fredspris: Eksklusivt intervju! http://xn--bodposten-n8a.no/terra-seismic-nominert-til-nobels-fredspris-eksklusivt-intervju
[16]
Alice Scarsi, Express (2018) Earthquakes Can Be Predicted to “Protect Mankind”. Nobel Prize Nominee Claims. http://www.express.co.uk/news/world/1049598/earthquakes-today-forecast-news-earthquakes-terra-seismic
[17]
Kassandra Petsas, Bodoposten (2018) Terra Seismic kan skape en ny, tryggere verden. http://xn--bodposten-n8a.no/terra-seismic-kan-skape-en-ny-tryggere-verden
[18]
CNN Philippines (2019) Live Interview with Oleg Elshin. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x1erNJVtM4U&fbclid =IwAR19kZFjwZgiA3B6bP_3hmF_uJ3m2_p3YC3uGJIfZ1Uyop7uybDYV__kU9E
[19]
BNAmericas (2015) Predicting Earthquakes “No Longer a Rough Science”. http://www.bnamericas.com/en/news/insurance/predicting-earthquakes-no-longer-a-rough-science
[20]
Marr, B. How Terra Seismic Uses Big Data in Practice. https://www.bernardmarr.com/default.asp?contentID=729
[21]
Marr, B. (2016) Big Data in Practice. How 45 Successful Companies Used Big Data Analytics to Deliver Extraordinary Results. In: Terra Seismic: Using Big Data to Predict Earthquakes, Wiley, Hoboken, Chapter 39. https://doi.org/10.1002/9781119278825
[22]
Dobrovolsky, I.P., Zubkov, S.I. and Miachkin, V.I. (1979) Estimation of the Size of Earthquake Preparation Zones. Springer, Berlin. https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/BF00876083 https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00876083
[23]
Lay, T., et al. (2005) The Great Sumatra-Andaman Earthquake of 26 December 2004. Science, 308, 1127-1133. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1112250