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-  2017 

Transmission dynamics of cholera in Yemen, 2017: a real time forecasting

DOI: 10.1186/s12976-017-0061-x

Keywords: Vibrio cholerae, Outbreak, Epidemiology, Prediction, Backcalculation

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Abstract:

Weekly incidence of the cholera epidemic, Yemen, 2017. a Weekly number of suspected cholera cases (left vertical axis) along with the case fatality risk (CFR) calculated as the ratio of weekly count of deaths to cases. Week 16 on horizontal axis corresponds to 16 April 2017. b Reported and updated epidemic curves from 22 May to 3 July 2017. Each epidemic curve represents the weekly number of suspected cases reported by the date of report (i.e., 22, 27, 30 May, 4, 11, 19 and 26 June and 3 July, respectively). Differences in the number of cases reported in the same week between two or more curves reflect the delay in reporting. Week 16 on horizontal axis corresponds to 16 April 201

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