Exit Outcomes for Probation

Research on youth in foster care has focused on those placed for reasons of maltreatment rather than delinquency, yet most states provide foster care services to youth under probation supervision. This analysis generated knowledge about youth in probation-supervised foster care (PSFC) in California by examining the relationship between past child protective services (CPS) involvement and exit type. CPS records were extracted to identify 17-year-old youths in PSFC between 2008 and 2012 (N = 11,188). The relationship between allegations of maltreatment and exit type was assessed using regression models. Of the PSFC youth, 64.6% had previous allegations of maltreatment and a quarter had been reported at least 6 times. Youth with a history of placement in CPS foster care were more likely to age out relative to achieving permanency in comparison to PSFC youth with no maltreatment history (relative risk ratio = 2.20; 95% confidence interval [1.90, 2.55]). As the number of reports increased, the likelihood of exiting care by aging out increased relative to achieving permanency (p < .001). The findings suggest a majority of PSFC youth had maltreatment histories, the overlap between CPS and probation was constant, and maltreatment records may characterize youth in PSFC at risk of negative exits from care