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Identifying Factors that Affect the Probability of Being Cured from MDR-TB Disease, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa: A Competing Risks Analysis

DOI: 10.4236/jtr.2022.101001, PP. 1-17

Keywords: Competing Risks, MDR-TB, South Africa

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Abstract:

Setting: Four decentralised sites are located in rural areas and one centralised hospital in KwaZulu-Natal province, South Africa. Objective: To analyse risk factors associated with multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) using competing risks analysis. Understanding factors associated with MDR-TB and obtaining valid parameter estimates could help in designing control and intervention strategies to lower TB mortality. Method: A prospective study was performed using a competing risk analysis in patients receiving treatment for MDR-TB. The study focused on 1542 patients (aged 18 years and older) who were diagnosed of MDR-TB between July 2008 and June 2010. Time to cure MDR-TB was used as the dependent variable and time to death was the competing risk event. Results: The Fine-Gray regression model indicated that baseline weight was highly significant with sub-distribution hazard ration (SHR) = 1.02, 95% CI: 1.01 - 1.02. This means that weight gain in a month increased chances of curing MDR-TB by 2%. Results show that lower chances to cure MDR-TB were among patients between 41 to 50 years compared to those patients who were between 18 to 30

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