全部 标题 作者
关键词 摘要

OALib Journal期刊
ISSN: 2333-9721
费用:99美元

查看量下载量

相关文章

更多...

Analysis of Temperature Trends and Variations in the Arabian Peninsula’s Upper Atmosphere

DOI: 10.4236/acs.2024.141005, PP. 85-100

Keywords: Upper-Air Temperature Variability, Long-Term Trend, Arabian Peninsula, Climate Change, Mann-Kendell

Full-Text   Cite this paper   Add to My Lib

Abstract:

In this study, the trends of upper-air temperatures are analysed by utilising radiosonde observations for the barometric levels at 700, 500, 300, 200, 150, 100 and 50 hPa from five meteorological stations within the Arabian Peninsula from January 1986 to August 2015. The mean monthly variations of the temperatures at these levels are characterised and established. The magnitudes of the annual trends of the mean temperatures for each site for the selected barometric levels are studied and statistically tested using Mann-Kendall rank statistics at different significance levels. The temperature trends at different pressure levels show that the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere are warming, while the middle troposphere is cooling which is consistent with the findings of other studies. The variations in upper air temperature observed in this study can be attributed to a range of factors, including increasing greenhouse gas concentrations, changes in atmospheric circulation patterns, variations in solar activity, aerosols and volcanic eruptions, and land use and land cover change.

References

[1]  Chen, Z.S., Chen, Y.N., Xu, J.H. and Bai, L. (2015) Upper-Air Temperature Change Trends above Arid Region of Northwest China during 1960-2009. Theoretical & Applied Climatology, 120, 239-248.
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-014-1166-3
[2]  Liu, Q. and Schuurmans, C. (1990) The Correlation of Tropospheric and Stratospheric Temperatures and Its Effect on the Detection of Climate Changes. Geophysical Research Letters, 17, 1085-1088.
https://doi.org/10.1029/GL017i008p01085
[3]  Seidel, D.J., Gillett, N.P., Lanzante, J.R., Shine, K.P. and Thorne, P.W. (2011) Stratospheric Temperature Trends: Our Evolving Understanding. WIREs Climate Change, 2, 592-616.
https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.125
[4]  Thorne, P.W., Lanzante, J.R., Peterson, T.C., Seidel, D.J. and Shine, K.P. (2011) Tropospheric Temperature Trends: History of an Ongoing Controversy. WIREs Climate Change, 2, 66-88.
https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.80
[5]  Keckhut P., Schmidlin, A. and Hauchecorne Chanin, M. (1999) Stratospheric and Mesospheric Cooling Trend Estimates from U.S. Rocketsondes at Low Latitude Stations (8°S34°N), Taking into Account Instrumental Changes and Natural Variability. Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics, 61, 447-459.
https://doi.org/10.1016/S1364-6826(98)00139-4
[6]  Box, J. and Cohen, A. (2006) Upper-Air Temperatures around Greenland: 1964-2005. Geophysical Research Letters, 33, L12706.
https://doi.org/10.1029/2006GL025723
[7]  Xue, D.Q., Tan, Z.M., Gong, D.L. and Wang, X.T. (2007) Primary Analyses of Upper-Air Temperature Changes in China in Past 40 Years. Plateau Meteor, 26, 141-149.
[8]  Yue, S., Pilon, P. and Cavadias, G. (2002) Power of the Mann-Kendall and Spearman’s Rho Tests for Detecting Monotonic Trends in Hydrological Series. Journal of Hydrology, 259, 254-271.
https://doi.org/10.1016/S0022-1694(01)00594-7
[9]  Brocard, E., Jeannet, P., Begert, M., Levrat, G., Philipona, R., Romanens, G. and Scherrer, S. (2013) Upper Air Temperature Trends above Switzerland 1959-2011. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 118, 4303-4317.
https://doi.org/10.1002/jgrd.50438
[10]  Philandras, C.M., Kapsomenakis, J., Nastos, P.T., Repapis, C. and Zerefos, C.S. (2017) Climatology of Upper Air Temperature over the Mediterranean. Trends and Variability. In: Karacostas, T., Bais, A. and Nastos, P., Eds., Perspectives on Atmospheric Sciences, Springer, Cham, 565-576.
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-35095-0_81
[11]  Dunkerton, T., Delisi, D. and Baldwin, M. (1998) Middle Atmosphere Cooling Trend in Historical Rocketsonde Data. Geophysical Research Letters, 25, 3371-3374.
https://doi.org/10.1029/98GL02385
[12]  Keckhut, P., Wild, J., Gelman, M., Miller, A. and Hauchecorne, A. (2001) Investigations on Longterm Temperature Changes in the Upper Stratosphere Using Lidar Data and NCEP Analyses. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 106, 7937-7944.
https://doi.org/10.1029/2000JD900845
[13]  Li, T., Leblanc, T., McDermid, I., Keckhut, P., Hauchecorne, A. and Dou, X. (2011) Temperature Trend and Solar Cycle Revealed by Long-Term Rayleigh Lidar Observations. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 116, D00P05.
https://doi.org/10.1029/2010JD015275
[14]  Offermann, D., Hoffmann, P., Knieling, P., Koppmann, R., Oberheide, J. and Steinbrecht, W. (2010) Long-Term Trends and Solar Cycle Variations of Mesospheric Temperature and Dynamics. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 115, D18127.
https://doi.org/10.1029/2009JD013363
[15]  Kasatkina, E.A. and Shumilov, O.I. (2005) Cosmic Ray-Induced Stratospheric Aerosols: A Possible Connection to Polar Ozone Depletions. Annales Geophysicae, 23, 675-679.
https://doi.org/10.5194/angeo-23-675-2005
[16]  Bradley, R.S., Keimig, F.T. and Diaz, H.F. (1992) Climatology of Surfacebased Inversions in the North American Arctic. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 97, 15699-15712.
https://doi.org/10.1029/92JD01451
[17]  Hurrel, J.W. (1995) Decadal Trends in the North Atlantic Oscillation: Regional Temperatures and Precipitation. Science, 269, 676-679.
https://doi.org/10.1126/science.269.5224.676
[18]  Smirnov, R.V. (1984) Spatial Regularities of Solar Activity Effects in the Troposphere. The Astronomical Journal, 61, 1168-1178. (In Russian)
[19]  Tinsley, B.A., Brown, G.M. and Scherrer, P.H. (1989) Solar Variability Influences on Weather and Climate: Possible Connections through Cosmic Ray Fluxes and Storm Intensifications. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 94, 14783-14792.
https://doi.org/10.1029/JD094iD12p14783
[20]  Mendoza, B., Lara, A., Maravilla, D. and Jauregui, E. (2001) Temperature Variability in Central Mexico and Its Possible Association to Solar Activity. Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics, 63, 1891-1900.
https://doi.org/10.1016/S1364-6826(01)00075-X
[21]  Gleisner, H. and Thejll, P. (2003) Patterns of Tropospheric Response to Solar Variability. Geophysical Research Letters, 30, 1029-1032.
https://doi.org/10.1029/2003GL017129
[22]  Kalnay, E., Kanamitsu, M., Kistler, R., Collins, W., Deaven, D., Gandin, L., Iredell, M., Saha, S., White, G., Woollen, J., Zhu, Y., Chelliah, M., Haimberger, L., Tavolato, C. and Sperka, S. (2012) Homogenization of the Global Radiosonde Temperature Data Set through Combined Comparison with Reanalysis Background Series and Neighboring Stations. Journal of Climate, 25, 8108-8131.
https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00668.1
[23]  Keckhut, P., Randel, W., Claud, C., Leblanc, T., Steinbrecht, W., Funatsu, B.M., Bencherif, H., McDermid, I.S., Hauchecorne, A., Long, C., Lin, R. and Baumgarten, G. (2011) An Evaluation of Uncertainties in Monitoring Middle Atmosphere Temperatures with the Lidar Network in Support of Space Observations. Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics, 73, 627-642.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jastp.2011.01.003
[24]  Maghrabi, A.H. and Al Dajani, H.M. (2014) Time Distribution of the Precipitable Water Vapor in Central Saudi Arabia and İts Relationship to Solar Activity. Advances in Space Research, 53, 1169-1179.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asr.2014.02.006
[25]  Mann, H.B. (1945) Non-Parametric Test against Trend. Econometrica, 13, 245-259.
https://doi.org/10.2307/1907187
[26]  Kendall, M.G. (1975) Rank Correlation Methods. 4th Edition, Charles Griffin, London.
[27]  Haigh, J. (1996) The Impact of Solar Variability on Climate. Science, 272, 981-984.
https://doi.org/10.1126/science.272.5264.981
[28]  Haigh, J.D. (2007) The Sun and the Earth’s Climate. Living Reviews in Solar Physics, 4, Article No. 2.
https://doi.org/10.12942/lrsp-2007-2
[29]  Lockwood, M. and Stamper, R. (2008) Long-Term Drift of the Coronal Source Magnetic Flux and the Total Solar Irradiance. Geophysical Research Letters, 26, 2461-2464.
[30]  Robock, A. (2000) Volcanic Eruptions and Climate. Reviews of Geophysics, 38, 191-219.
https://doi.org/10.1029/1998RG000054
[31]  Simmons, A.J., Poli, P., Dee, D.P., Berrisford, P., Hersbach, H., Kobayashi, S. and Peubey, C. (2014) Estimating Low-Frequency Variability and Trends in Atmospheric Temperature Using ERA-Interim. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 140, 329-353.
https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2317
[32]  Pielke, R.A., et al. (2002) Land Use Change and Climate. Science, 297, 2222-2223.
[33]  Li, X., et al. (2018) Impacts of Land Use and Land Cover Changes on Regional Climate: A Review. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, 9, e535.
[34]  Almazroui, M., Islam, M.N., Saeed, F. and Alfaroa, M.A. (2017) The Impact of Climate Change on the Indian Summer Monsoon Circulation and Extreme Weather Events over Saudi Arabia. Climate Dynamics, 48, 2461-2475.
[35]  Almazroui, M., Islam, M.N., Saeed, F. and Alfaroa, M.A. (2012) Climate Change and Temperature Extremes over Saudi Arabia: Projections for the End of the Twenty-First Century. International Journal of Climatology, 32, 953-968.

Full-Text

comments powered by Disqus

Contact Us

service@oalib.com

QQ:3279437679

WhatsApp +8615387084133

WeChat 1538708413