基于数学模型的中国新能源电动汽车发展主要因素分析及影响研究
Main Factors Analysis and Influence Research on the Development of China’s New Energy Electric Vehicles Based on Mathematical Models

本研究旨在分析中国新能源电动汽车发展的主要因素，并建立数学模型评估这些因素对中国新能源电动汽车产业的影响。通过对政策、技术、市场、基础设施和环境等多方面因素的深入剖析，我们发现政策支持、技术创新、市场需求、充电设施和完善的基础设施以及环境问题是影响中国新能源电动汽车发展的关键因素。在此基础上，我们构建了季节性差分自回归滑动平均模型(SARIMA)，以量化这些因素的影响程度。结果表明，政策支持、技术创新和市场需求的增加对中国新能源电动汽车产业的发展具有显著的推动作用，而充电设施和基础设施的完善以及环境问题则是产业发展的必要条件。此外，我们还发现各因素之间的相互影响和协同作用对新能源电动汽车产业的发展具有重要意义。因此，为促进我国新能源电动汽车产业的可持续发展，政府、企业和相关部门应共同努力，加大政策扶持力度，推动技术创新，培育市场需求，完善基础设施，并关注环境问题。本研究为政策制定者和产业实践者提供了有益的参考，以指导中国新能源电动汽车产业的健康发展。
This study aims to analyze the main factors driving the development of China’s new energy electric vehicle industry, and establish a mathematical model to evaluate the impact of these factors on the industry. Through an in-depth analysis of various factors such as policy, technology, market, infra-structure, and environment, we find that policy support, technological innovation, market demand, charging facilities, and improved infrastructure, as well as environmental issues, are the key factors affecting the development of China’s new energy electric vehicle industry. Based on this, we have constructed a Seasonal Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) model to quantify the degree of influence of these factors. The results show that the increase in policy support, technolog-ical innovation, and market demand has a significant positive effect on the development of China’s new energy electric vehicle industry, while the improvement of charging facilities and infrastruc-ture, as well as environmental issues, are necessary conditions for the development of the industry. In addition, we also find that the mutual influence and synergy among various factors are of great significance to the development of the new energy electric vehicle industry. Therefore, to promote the sustainable development of China’s new energy electric vehicle industry, governments, enter-prises, and relevant departments should work together to increase policy support, promote tech-nological innovation, cultivate market demand, improve infrastructure, and pay attention to envi-ronmental issues. This study provides useful references for policymakers and industry practition-ers to guide the healthy development of China’s new energy electric vehicle industry.