碳平衡背景下我国能源消费与经济增长关系的统计分析
Statistical Analysis of the Relationship between Energy Consumption and Economic Growth in China under the Background of Carbon Balance

2020年，我国宣布力求于2030年前达到碳排放峰值，努力争取于2060年前实现碳中和(“3060目标”)。我国目前是全世界最大的碳排放国家，而碳排放主要来源就是能源。能源消费量剧烈上涨，导致了能源紧缺、能源消费结构不合理等现状，影响了我国经济的健康发展。本文利用统计学及计量经济学等方法，以2000年至2022年国内生产总值和能源消费的数据为基础，对我国的能源消费与经济增长的动态关系做出实证分析，进一步对我国能源消费和经济情况做出合理解释，并提出政策建议。
In 2020, China announced that it would strive to peak carbon emissions before 2030 and strive to achieve carbon neutrality by 2060 (“Goal 3060”). My country is currently the world’s largest carbon emitter, and the main source of carbon emissions is energy. The sharp increase in energy consumption has led to energy shortages and unreasonable energy consumption structures, which have affected the healthy development of our country’s economy. This paper uses statistical and econometric methods to make an empirical analysis of the dynamic relationship between energy consumption and economic growth in China based on the data on GDP and energy consumption from 2000 to 2022, to further provide a reasonable explanation of China’s energy consumption and economic situation, and to put forward policy recommendations.