资源型边疆城市可持续财政自给能力测度与影响因素研究——以克拉玛依市为例
Study on Measurement and Influencing Factors of Sustainable Fiscal Self-Sufficiency of Resource-Based Cities in Border Areas—A Case of Karamay City

本研究以新疆克拉玛依市为案例，探讨资源型边疆城市针对全球化和数字化带来的挑战在财政可持续性方面的问题与挑战。克拉玛依市的可持续财政自给能力脆弱，且在全球经济新常态的影响下尤为显著。文章通过理论与实证分析相结合，探索边疆资源城市财政自给能力的测度与影响因素。结果发现，政府债务层面的可持续性是政府可持续财政自给能力的重要测度指标，而要提升克拉玛依市的财政自给能力，核心策略包括经济多元化、促进经济增长、提高财政管理与效率、增强资源产出效率以及制定适应性财政策略。特别是第三产业的培育、促进科技创新、优化财政资源配置、技术引进和管理创新都是提升财政自给的重要方向。同时，注重长短期财政的平衡是确保长期财政健康的重要保障。本研究通过具体的模型分析，揭示了经济转型期间提升自给能力的测度指标与重要影响因素。研究成果不仅对克拉玛依市有着直接的指导意义，也为其他资源型城市的可持续发展策略提供了理论参考。
This study uses Karamay City in Xinjiang as a case to investigate the challenges and issues related to fiscal sustainability that resource-based cities in border areas face in the context of globalization and digitalization. The sustainable fiscal self-sufficiency of Karamay City is fragile, and this is especially evident under the influence of the new normal of the global economy. The article combines theoretical and empirical analysis to explore the measurement and influencing factors of fiscal self-sufficiency in cities in border areas. It is found that the sustainability of government debt is an important metric for assessing the sustainability of the government’s fiscal self-sufficiency. To enhance Karamay’s fiscal self-sufficiency, core strategies include economic diversification, promotion of economic growth, improvement of fiscal management and efficiency, enhancement of resource output efficiency, and formulation of adaptive fiscal strategies. Particularly, the cultivation of the tertiary sector, promotion of technological innovation, optimization of fiscal resource allocation, technology introduction, and management innovation are crucial directions for enhancing fiscal self-sufficiency. At the same time, focusing on the balance between long-term and short-term finances is an important guarantee for ensuring long-term fiscal health. Through detailed model analysis, this study reveals the measurement indicators and significant influencing factors for improving self-sufficiency during economic transformation. The research results not only have direct guidance for Karamay City, but also provide theoretical references for sustainable development strategies of other resource-based cities.