CAFTA背景下中国与东盟国家农产品贸易竞争性与互补性分析
Analysis on the Competitiveness and Complementarity of Agricultural Trade between China and ASEAN Countries in the Context of CAFTA

本文基于UN Comtrade数据库中2011年~2022年中国和东盟的农产品贸易数据，分析了中国与东盟农产品贸易现状，并对中国和东盟农产品贸易的竞争性和互补性指数进行了相应的测算。结果表明：在CAFTA背景下，中国对东盟十国的农产品贸易得到较大增长，东盟十国出口中国农产品贸易的竞争优势较大，中国从东盟进口农产品的互补性较强，且中国的农产品的出口潜力有待进一步加强。建议我国要持续推进乡村振兴战略，加强与东盟农业合作，调整农产品贸易策略，推动中国与东盟农产品贸易合作高质量发展。
Based on the trade data of agricultural products between China and ASEAN in the UN Comtrade database from 2011 to 2022, this paper analyzes the current situation of trade of agricultural products between China and ASEAN, and calculates the competitiveness and complementarity index of trade of agricultural products between China and ASEAN accordingly. The results show that in the context of CAFTA, China’s agricultural trade with the ten ASEAN countries has been greatly increased, the ten ASEAN countries have a large competitive advantage in exporting agricultural products to China, and China’s agricultural products imported from ASEAN are highly complementary, and the export potential of China’s agricultural products needs to be further strengthened. It is suggested that China should continue to promote the rural revitalization strategy, strengthen agricultural cooperation with ASEAN, adjust agricultural trade strategies, and promote the high-quality development of agricultural trade cooperation between China and ASEAN.