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Economia Aplicada 2011
Infla??o inercial sob mudan?as de regime: análise a partir de um modelo MS-ARFIMA, 1944-2009DOI: 10.1590/S1413-80502011000300005 Keywords: inertial inflation, ms-arfima, long run dependence. Abstract: the main goal of this paper is search for the long run dependence in the brazilian inflation rate allowing regime switching by the ms-arfima model. the principal contribution of this paper is the simultaneous and consistent estimation of longmemory coefficient d and the several regimes that encompass them. the results enable us to conclude that there were two regimes in the brazilian economy with high persistence: hyperinflation regime and low inflation regime. the long run memory of inflation rate is dependent upon regime switching. the low inflation regime is the more persistent one.
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