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Nova Economia  2011 

Cambio real, poupan?a doméstica e poupan?a externa: análise teórica e evidências empíricas

DOI: 10.1590/S0103-63512011000300002

Keywords: real exchange rate, savings, investment and economic development, savings displacement.

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Abstract:

this paper provides theoretical and empirical elements to analyze the relation between real exchange rates and domestic savings. we show from a theoretical perspective how a competitive exchange rate may stimulate domestic savings by avoiding consumption booms based on currency overvaluation and by increasing profits in the tradable sector. our baseline model shows from a short run perspective how a competitive exchange rate may stimulate investment, exports, profits and thus domestic savings. we also present econometric evidence based on a panel with developing countries which shows a robust connection between real exchange rates and domestic savings as a share of gdp.

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