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El efecto de China en el comercio internacional de América Latina

DOI: 10.4067/S0718-52862011000200001

Keywords: bilateral trade, gravity model, poisson regression, china, latin america.

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Abstract:

using a gravity model, this article presents an analysis of aggregate trade flows aimed at identifying china's impact on latin america's trade. the results obtained indicate that: i) china's growth in the last years implied a growing supply of exports to this market from most countries in the world, including that of latin american countries; ii) at the aggregate level, there was no indication that chinese exports to third markets were crowding out lac exports to those countries; and iii) a positive relationship between imports from china and exports to third markets was only found for the southern cone countries.

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