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?Cuánto Dura el Desempleo de la Población más Pobre en Chile?

DOI: 10.4067/S0717-68212007000200004

Keywords: desempleo, modelos de duración, pobreza.

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Abstract:

this paper analyzes the determinants of the unemployment spells for the beneficiaries of "chile solidario", a conditional cash-transfer program. the evidence on unemployment spells for chile is scarce. employing the kaplan-mehier's non-parametric estimator, i found that at the beginning of the unemployment spell there exists a high probability of leaving unemployment. this probability reaches its peak on the seventh month, after which, it declines. moreover, parametric estimations show that factors such as belonging to the indigenous population, being between 45 and 54 years old, being woman and having low education, increase the spell of unemployment

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