Elecciones 2009 en Uruguay: permanencia de lealtades políticas y accountability electoral

this paper inquires about the main characteristics of voting behavior in uruguayan national elections in 2009. using a probit analysis based on an election poll it is found that government management, perception of economy and ideological issues play an important role in this election characterized by low volatility. these findings indicate strong party loyalties aggregated in "ideological families" as well as evaluative aspects about political and economic performance that determine the uruguayan vote.