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OALib Journal期刊
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Program of Wind Speed Prediction Based on Numerical Simulation with Intelligent Optimization Algorithm
基于数值模拟和统计分析及智能优化的风速预报系统

Keywords: numerical simulation,statistical analysis,intelligent optimization,wind speed prediction
数值模拟
,统计分析,智能优化,风速预报

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Abstract:

Wind speed prediction is a key factor for wind farm planning and the operational planning of power grids; accurate forecasting of wind speed can minimize the scheduling errors and in turn increase the reliability of the electric power grid and reduce the power market ancillary service costs. Based on the mesoscale model WRF(Weather Research and Forcasting) for wind speed forecasting, combined with model prediction and statistical analysis using an intelligent optimization algorithm we have greatly improved the forecasting precision of wind speed, employing a new method to correct the model errors. In view of the climatic feature of Chinese wind farms, the wind speed prediction program in China has been enhanced.

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