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层次分析法在致密油有利区优选中的应用——以川中侏罗系大安寨段为例

DOI: 10.11867/j.issn.1001-8166.2015.06.0715, PP. 715-723

Keywords: 层次分析法,致密油,有利区优选,大安寨段

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Abstract:

层次分析法常用于解决复杂系统分析与决策中目标优选、排序等问题,也适用于油气勘探领域。在前人致密油地质特征研究的基础上,总结了致密油有利区优选指标。使用层次分析法优选有利区的核心内容是建立层次结构模型和构建2类矩阵。以四川盆地中部侏罗系大安寨段为例,介绍了使用层次分析法优选有利区5个主要步骤①根据研究区地质特征,确定目标及方案,构建目标层和方案层;②根据影响致密油富集的要素,确定准则层;③构建准则层中各要素的成对比较矩阵,确定各准则要素的相对权重;④构建各准则要素对不同方案的判断矩阵,确定不同方案中各准则要素的权重;⑤将不同方案各准则要素的权重矩阵与准则要素的相对权重矩阵相乘,得到各方案的层次排序,进而选出最佳方案。优选的川中侏罗系大安寨段致密油最有利勘探区为金华—莲池区。操作简单、不需考虑下限值、适用范围广是层次分析法优选有利区的优点,但由于层次分析中的标度根据人为经验赋值,不同评价人员给出的评价结果有所不同。将层次分析法与GIS、特尔菲法、模糊数学法相结合,可以提高准则要素的优选合理性及赋值准确性。

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