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树木年轮记录的辽河平原南部240年以来10~6月的降水变化

DOI: 10.11928/j.issn.1001-7410.2015.05.12, PP. 1165-1174

Keywords: 油松,树木年轮,气候变化,降水重建,东亚季风

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Abstract:

利用油松(Pinustabulaeformis)的树木年轮宽度年表,在相对湿润的辽河平原南部,重建了该地区1774年以来10~6月的降水变化。重建方程可以解释该地区实际降水量变化的39.9%。重建结果表明,在1774~2010年的过去约240年里,研究区经历了11个相对湿润期(1774~1795年、1809~1810年、1822~1823年、1835~1850年、1867~1874年、1889~1894年、1907~1914年、1931~1956年、1973~1976年、1985~1991年、2006~2010年)和10个相对干旱期(1796~1808年、1811~1821年、1824~1834年、1851~1866年、1875~1888年、1895~1906年、1915~1930年、1957~1972年、1977~1984年、1992~2005年),其中最湿润年份是1788年,最干旱年份是1859年。该地区降水以高频变化为主,存在准2.0~2.2年、2.4年,3.1~3.2年和3.7~3.8年的显著周期(p<0.05),其中准2.1年和准2.4年的周期达到极显著水平(p<0.01)。重建的降水序列还存在50~70年左右的准周期。研究区10~6月的降水受东亚季风的影响,东亚冬季风强或夏季风弱,降水量均少,东亚冬季风弱或夏季风强,降水量则偏多。

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