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-  2018 

流通产业发展的减贫效应研究——基于中国2000-2015年省级面板数据的经验证据
The Poverty reduction effect Research of the Development of Circulation Industry——Evidence Based on Chinese Provincial-level Panel Data from 2000 to 2015

Keywords: 流通产业 减贫效应 效应测度 空间计量
circulation industry poverty reduction effect measurement of effect spatial econometrics

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Abstract:

以流通产业为例,选取我国2000-2015年省域面板数据,依据内生经济增长及经济增长假说理论,从总体减贫、内部要素、区域差异、空间溢出等四个维度提出假设,讨论流通产业发展能否有效减少贫困。研究发现:流通产业发展具有显著正向减贫效应,且在第三产业内部构成中减贫效应表现突出;流通产业发展内部要素减贫效应存在显性差异;信息化水平减贫效应最大,劳动力、交通投资次之,人力资本减贫效应有待挖掘;流通产业减贫效应存在区域空间异质性;东部地区流通产业减贫效应显著且高于中、西部地区;流通产业减贫存在显著空间溢出效应。
As a case study of the circulation industry, this article, selected the Chinese Provincial-level Panel Data from 2000 to 2015, proposed an assumption based on the hypothesis of endogenous economic growth and economic growth theory, including overall poverty reduction, internal factors, regional difference and spatial spillover in four angles, and discussed whether the development of the circulation industry effectively reduced poverty or not. The study found that: the circulation industry has a positive and significant effect on poverty reduction, and shows outstanding influence in terms of poverty reducing effects within the third industry; with regard to the internal factors of circulation industry development, the effect of poverty alleviation has significant difference, that is, the poverty reduction effect in information level is the highest, labor force and traffic investment play the secondary role, and human capital poverty reduction effect needs further research. There exists regional spatial heterogeneity in the poverty reduction effect in the circulation industry, and the poverty reduction effect in eastern areas is more significantly higher than that in central and even western regions in China; poverty reduction has significant spillover effect in the circulation industry. Based on this, we should support the construction of poverty-oriented circulation industry, improve the environment for the development of the circulation industry, and promote balanced development of the circulation industry and policy recommendations.

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