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A Note on the Export-Led Growth Hypothesis: A Time Series Approach

DOI: 10.4067/S0717-68212008000200006

Keywords: export-led growth, cointegration, causality, argentina, brazil, méxico.

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Abstract:

the export-led growth hypothesis is analysed for argentina, brazil, and mexico using cointegration and causality techniques. cointegration isfound for argentina and mexico in both a pre-break and post-break period, where the break is related to the introduction ofthe nafta. furthermore, the causal relationship is either bi-directional or unidirectional from export to gdp revealing support to the hypothesis and an outward oriented policy.

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